Overall
B
62 / 100
Data Confidence
72%
Based on 33 evidence items and 19 unknowns
Use this as a comparison guide against other areas. The category scores below show what is driving it.
地図を読み込んでいます...
Analysis perspective
Residence
This lens asks whether daily life truly works once movement, medical access, shopping, rain, and nighttime conditions are included.
From a residential lens, daily life can work but friction rises by weather and time window.
Tap to switch lens
Question this lens asks
Do daily routes still work in rain and at night?
Question this lens asks
Does the area remain manageable both for child-rearing and later life?
Question this lens asks
Would life stall if someone is ill and only short-distance movement is realistic?
Key red flags in this lens
- Transport: Transport data is only partial, so actual travel time is still unclear
- Disaster: Preparedness for stronger shaking should be prioritized
- Investment: Global-facing amenities such as English-capable clinics or international schools are limited, so overseas tenant appeal would need to rely more on building-specific strengths
Next actions in this lens
- Preparedness for stronger shaking should be prioritized
- Review the soil report to see whether ground conditions can become a future burden
- Check late-night activity and how it changes the route home
Not prioritized in this lens: This lens does not prioritize asset or resale logic over daily livability reality.
Professional Analysis Report
Shinjuku Station Area
Inside designated flood-prone zone — A place where baseline conditions matter more than price optics.
小児科：徒歩圏内
A place where baseline conditions matter more than price optics. Focusing on the nearest station can hide the…. Current convenience comes with heavier hazard…. This area is easier to judge by reading what convenience is trading away. Notable on-the-ground signals include Inside designated flood-prone zone; 新宿駅 within 4 min walk (~299m).
Why it matters:On rainy days and as you age, livability hinges on whether the nearby bus stops can actually replace walking when needed.
Analysis Context
Decision signals
- StrengthDaily supply routes look stable with 成城石井 ルミネ新宿ルミネ1店 available.
- StrengthThere is visible baseline support for daily continuity via 【小児科：徒歩圏内】.
- CautionNo major five-year break is visible.
- CautionDo not freeze long-term demand assumptions.
Named places
- Nearest station: 新宿駅 (about 4 min walk)
- Shopping: 成城石井 ルミネ新宿ルミネ1店
- Shopping: アジアスーパーストアー
- Park: 新宿区立柏木公園
Nearby bus stops (all)
- はとバス新宿営業所（約188m）
- はとバス新宿東口乗り場（約237m）
- バスタ新宿（約373m）
- 新宿駅西口（京王百貨店前）（バス）（成田空港線・下り）（約449m）
- 新宿広小路（バス）（約549m）
- 小田急ホテルＣサザンタワー（バス）（羽田空港線・下り）（約571m）
- 南通り（バス）（約884m）
- 新宿ワシントンホテル（バス）（羽田空港線・下り）（約1076m）
- 大久保駅（バス）（約1360m）
- 北新宿（バス）（約1661m）
Station candidates (top 3)
- 新宿駅（約299m）
- 新宿三丁目駅（約150m）
- 西武新宿駅（約548m）
- This site still reads as natural landform code 10314. The original water and ground behaviour can translate into present flood, liquefaction, or bearing-capacity differences, so lower-floor exposure and foundation conditions should be checked first.
- The 4-minute walk to 新宿駅 is a strong backing for long-term liquidity.
Overall and category scores
Based on the data retrieved in this run, the overall score and 7 category scores are shown side by side.
Starting from a 50-point baseline, each category's contribution (score × weight) stacks up to the overall.
Green = contribution pushing above 50; red = contribution pulling below. Weight amplifies each bar.
Moderate support
Disaster risk
Weight 25%
D
39 / 100
Preparedness for stronger shaking should be prioritized.
Convenience
Weight 20%
A
74 / 100
Confirmed schools, medical facilities, and libraries: school: 東京正生学院 / medical: 新宿三丁目駅前眼科 / library: 工学院大学新宿図書館
Transport
Weight 15%
C
56 / 100
Transport data is only partial, so actual travel time is still unclear.
Livability
Weight 15%
SStrength
90 / 100
Daily livability may look reasonable, but hazard-related cautions still remain.
Future
Weight 10%
SStrength
88 / 100
Current population statistic: 349,385人
Asset value
Weight 10%
AStrength
80 / 100
The adopted price level sits 15.8% below the municipal average, giving it a more value-led position.
Investment & global context
Weight 5%
D
34 / 100
Global-facing amenities such as English-capable clinics or international schools are limited, so overseas tenant appeal would need to rely more on building-specific strengths.
Open the confidence breakdown
Disaster risk
80%6 evidence / 4 unknown
Convenience
87%3 evidence / 2 unknown
Transport
80%4 evidence / 2 unknown
Livability
87%6 evidence / 4 unknown
Future
100%6 evidence / 2 unknown
Asset value
87%6 evidence / 3 unknown
Investment & global context
53%2 evidence / 2 unknown
Open the rationale behind each score
Disaster risk
Why this stays important
Preparedness for stronger shaking should be prioritized.
Disaster review is constrained by warning signs or missing evidence, so a cautious read is appropriate.
How to read it
Hazard conditions remain a decision stopper.
What it changes in daily life
Check mobility routes during heavy rain.
What grows with time
This affects insurance and maintenance decisions.
How it shifts as conditions change
This can affect long-run staying viability.
What to prioritize when comparing
Prioritize Check the latest municipal revision date.
Reference weight
This theme accounts for 25% of the reading. Display grade D, reference score 39/100.
What convenience may be hiding
- Preparedness for stronger shaking should be prioritized.
- Flood, landslide, or liquefaction risk is lowering this assessment.
Open the facts behind this analysis
Flood exposure
Confirmed flood-depth context: 洪水浸水想定区域との重なりは確認されず
Landslide exposure
Confirmed landslide warning-zone context: 土砂災害警戒区域との重なりは確認されず
Liquefaction risk
Estimated liquefaction susceptibility: 液状化しにくい (ローム台地)
Terrain reading
Slope 0.3°
Earthquake hazard
30-year probability of JMA 6- 38.0% / 6+ 5.6%
Land history
台地･段丘 / 【土地の歴史】台地･段丘の自然地形
Convenience
Why this stays important
Confirmed schools, medical facilities, and libraries: school: 東京正生学院 / medical: 新宿三丁目駅前眼科 / library: 工学院大学新宿図書館
There is some convenience evidence, but the lived daily route still needs confirmation.
How to read it
Daily convenience is strong.
What it changes in daily life
Lived differences still need an on-site check.
What grows with time
Track surrounding change.
How it shifts as conditions change
Route feel can still shift with local changes.
What to prioritize when comparing
Usable as a comparison signal.
Reference weight
This theme accounts for 20% of the reading. Display grade A, reference score 74/100.
What convenience may be hiding
- -
Open the facts behind this analysis
Public facilities
Confirmed schools, medical facilities, and libraries: school: 東京正生学院 / medical: 新宿三丁目駅前眼科 / library: 工学院大学新宿図書館
Daily amenities
Nearby grocery and daily-use place results: Supermarket: 成城石井 ルミネ新宿ルミネ1店 / Supermarket: アジアスーパーストアー / 薬局: クスリの龍生堂 新宿野村ビル店 / 薬局: かちどき薬局 新宿センタービル店 / Convenience store: ローソン シタディーンセントラル新宿店 / Convenience store: ローソンストア100 新宿文化センター前店 / Park: 新宿区立柏木公園 / Park: 代々木二丁目あおい公園 / Bus stop: バスタ新宿 / Bus stop: 北新宿（バス） / Bus stop: はとバス新宿東口乗り場 / Bus stop: はとバス新宿営業所 / Bus stop: 大久保駅（バス） / Bus stop: 新宿広小路（バス） / Bus stop: 新宿駅西口（京王百貨店前）（バス）（成田空港線・下り） / Bus stop: 南通り（バス） / Bus stop: 小田急ホテルＣサザンタワー（バス）（羽田空港線・下り） / Bus stop: 新宿ワシントンホテル（バス）（羽田空港線・下り）
Zoning
Basic information on area designation and use: 商業地域
Transport
Why this stays important
Transport data is only partial, so actual travel time is still unclear.
Some transport signals are available, but crowding and real travel time still need follow-up.
How to read it
Transport burden needs on-site review.
What it changes in daily life
Lived differences still need an on-site check.
What grows with time
Track surrounding change.
How it shifts as conditions change
Route feel can still shift with local changes.
What to prioritize when comparing
Usable as a comparison signal.
Reference weight
This theme accounts for 15% of the reading. Display grade C, reference score 56/100.
What convenience may be hiding
- Transport data is only partial, so actual travel time is still unclear.
Open the facts behind this analysis
Nearest station
Confirmed nearest-station context: 新宿駅
Transport demand
交通需要は追加確認が必要です。
Station options
3 station options are available, giving the route more fallback choices.
Route terrain
Route terrain includes a relative elevation of +0.3m against the nearby average.
Livability
Why this stays important
Daily livability may look reasonable, but hazard-related cautions still remain.
Daily routes and neighborhood character can be reviewed from multiple sources, making livability easier to organize.
How to read it
Livability has usable support.
What it changes in daily life
Lived differences still need an on-site check.
What grows with time
Track surrounding change.
How it shifts as conditions change
The score can still move with neighborhood change.
What to prioritize when comparing
Usable as a comparison signal.
Reference weight
This theme accounts for 15% of the reading. Display grade S, reference score 90/100.
What convenience may be hiding
- Daily livability may look reasonable, but hazard-related cautions still remain.
Open the facts behind this analysis
Emergency safety net
Emergency or core-hospital access is visible within 33 m, making the serious-case safety net easier to picture by car or taxi.
Evening shopping holds
Many shops are open at snapshot time, so evening routes remain practical.
Zoning
Supporting signal for neighborhood character: 商業地域
Living infrastructure
Distribution of public facilities: school: 東京正生学院 / medical: 新宿三丁目駅前眼科 / library: 工学院大学新宿図書館
Daily route
Proximity of daily-use places: Supermarket: 成城石井 ルミネ新宿ルミネ1店 / Supermarket: アジアスーパーストアー / 薬局: クスリの龍生堂 新宿野村ビル店 / 薬局: かちどき薬局 新宿センタービル店 / Convenience store: ローソン シタディーンセントラル新宿店 / Convenience store: ローソンストア100 新宿文化センター前店 / Park: 新宿区立柏木公園 / Park: 代々木二丁目あおい公園 / Bus stop: バスタ新宿 / Bus stop: 北新宿（バス） / Bus stop: はとバス新宿東口乗り場 / Bus stop: はとバス新宿営業所 / Bus stop: 大久保駅（バス） / Bus stop: 新宿広小路（バス） / Bus stop: 新宿駅西口（京王百貨店前）（バス）（成田空港線・下り） / Bus stop: 南通り（バス） / Bus stop: 小田急ホテルＣサザンタワー（バス）（羽田空港線・下り） / Bus stop: 新宿ワシントンホテル（バス）（羽田空港線・下り）
Education amenities
Proximity of tutoring, language, and school-oriented services: 学習塾: 家庭教師のランナー関東 / 学習塾: LEC東京リーガルマインド 新宿エルタワー本校 / 学習塾: 日本進学塾JUQ新宿校 / 学習塾: 武田塾 新宿校 / 学校: Brighton Nursery School Shinjuku-Gyoen インターナショナル保育園 ブライトンナーサリー新宿御苑 / 学校: 東京言語学院 新宿校 / 語学スクール: 東京言語学院 新宿校 / 語学スクール: 新宿平和日本語学校 / 語学スクール: GLOBE ENGLISH SCHOOL 新宿校 / 語学スクール: ワンコイングリッシュ新宿校
Future
Why this stays important
Current population statistic: 349,385人
Population, household, and future estimates are available, making long-term change easier to review.
How to read it
Long-term assumptions are usable.
What it changes in daily life
Long-term assumptions are easier to place.
What grows with time
Demand change still needs tracking.
How it shifts as conditions change
Keep tracking aging and policy updates.
What to prioritize when comparing
Usable as a comparison signal.
Reference weight
This theme accounts for 10% of the reading. Display grade S, reference score 88/100.
What convenience may be hiding
- -
Open the facts behind this analysis
Current population
Current population statistic: 349,385人
Household count
Current household-count statistic: 222,800世帯
Future population
Future population estimate: 364,111人
Future population change
Estimated population change rate: +4.2%
Reference year
Housing supply-demand statistics are referenced to 2023年.
Medical continuity
2 medical service types supporting ageing and ongoing care were confirmed nearby.
Asset value
Why this stays important
The adopted price level sits 15.8% below the municipal average, giving it a more value-led position.
Price timing and valuation backing are available, so asset-value comparison is relatively well supported.
How to read it
Price anchoring is visible.
What it changes in daily life
Long-term assumptions are easier to place.
What grows with time
Demand change still needs tracking.
How it shifts as conditions change
Track price drift over time.
What to prioritize when comparing
Usable as a comparison signal.
Reference weight
This theme accounts for 10% of the reading. Display grade A, reference score 80/100.
What convenience may be hiding
- -
Open the facts behind this analysis
Municipal benchmark
The adopted price level sits 15.8% below the municipal average, giving it a more value-led position.
Land price
Confirmed land-price level: 1㎡あたり 1,400,000円
Transaction count
Count signal supporting price evidence: 87件
Price period
Reference period for the price data: 2025年第4四半期
Rent bands
Reference rent bands include 単身 around 82,512 JPY / DINKS around 122,429 JPY.
Housing cost
単身 housing cost statistics around 82,512 JPY were retrieved
Investment & global context
Why this stays important
Global-facing amenities such as English-capable clinics or international schools are limited, so overseas tenant appeal would need to rely more on building-specific strengths.
Either yield efficiency or global living support remains thin, so a professional read keeps post-acquisition exit planning cautious.
How to read it
Investment assumptions stay cautious.
What it changes in daily life
Check both exit execution and suitability for overseas tenants in detail.
What grows with time
This is more exposed to financing, maintenance, and resale slippage.
How it shifts as conditions change
Do not lock rent or exit assumptions too early.
What to prioritize when comparing
Prioritize Check achieved rent and vacancy period, not just asking rent.
Reference weight
This theme accounts for 5% of the reading. Display grade D, reference score 34/100.
What convenience may be hiding
- Global-facing amenities such as English-capable clinics or international schools are limited, so overseas tenant appeal would need to rely more on building-specific strengths.
- Estimated gross yield is about 2.2%, so the income cushion against entry price is not especially thick.
Open the facts behind this analysis
Global amenities
Nearby amenities that matter for global residents and investors: 英語対応医療: 新宿東口クリニック / 英語対応医療: GLOBE Clinic Shinjuku (International Clinic) グローブクリニック新宿院
Estimated gross yield
Estimated gross yield is about 2.2%. Against the municipal price benchmark of roughly 1.8%, the spread is +0.3pt, showing how entry pricing changes income efficiency.
Regional character
Assertion
Inside flood-prone zone; hazard-route verification comes before every other condition.
However
That said, hazard zone designation differs from realized risk. Past damage records, elevation along the evacuation route, and building floor change "your home's" exposure significantly.
Therefore
Put another way — choosing here means refusing to treat hazard plans as someone else's problem. Workable if you're healthy and on upper floors; if later life, low floors, or small children apply, compare other areas side by side.
A question for you
On the next stormy night, can you reach the shelter from this house on your own?
Additional decision lenses
These are extra lenses built from the APIs already in use, focused on the comparisons that tend to matter most.
Daily route score
77 / 100
This condenses daily movement burden around roughly 299m to the station, 0 supermarkets, and 0 bus fallback points.
- Station distance: about 299m
- 3 station options
- Estimated monthly uphill load: 42m
Verify on site that the station, supermarket, and clinic routes work in one practical loop.
Future resilience
66 / 100
This is a simplified read of whether the local living base is likely to hold, using future population at +4.2%, migration, and vacancy.
- Future population: +4.2%
- Vacancy rate: 11.6%
Confirm that the functions you rely on can be sustained both in municipal plans and in the actual street-level feel.
Price depth
73 / 100
This reads how much trust to place in the current price anchor, using 87 transactions and the market-appraisal gap.
- Transactions: 87
- 87 supporting trade records
Recheck price freshness and nearby completed trades before committing.
Residential support lenses
From a residential lens, the real question is whether life still works on difficult days, not whether it looks convenient at first glance.
This stacks daily routes at 77/100, medical continuity at 82/100, night and weather resilience at 65/100, and family continuity at 68/100 to show where daily life may start to strain.
Daily route score
77 / 100
This condenses daily movement burden around roughly 299m to the station, 0 supermarkets, and 0 bus fallback points.
- Station distance: about 299m
- 3 station options
- Estimated monthly uphill load: 42m
Verify on site that the station, supermarket, and clinic routes work in one practical loop.
Medical continuity
82 / 100
This lens asks whether clinic, pharmacy, and illness-day movement can keep daily life from stalling.
- Usable as a comparison signal.
- Lived differences still need an on-site check.
- Confirmed schools, medical facilities, and libraries: school: 東京正生学院 / medical: 新宿三丁目駅前眼科 / library: 工学院大学新宿図書館
Check the real walking burden to the nearest clinic and pharmacy on a weekday and in rain.
Night and bad-weather routine
65 / 100
This lens asks whether daily routines still hold at night, in rain, and under health stress.
- Daily livability may look reasonable, but hazard-related cautions still remain.
- Check mobility routes during heavy rain.
- Preparedness for stronger shaking should be prioritized.
Verify the route home at night and the station-shop-home movement pattern in wet weather.
Family and later-life continuity
68 / 100
This lens asks whether the area stays manageable both for child-rearing and later life, not just today.
- Usable as a comparison signal.
- Track surrounding change.
- This affects insurance and maintenance decisions.
Inspect stroller movement and a later-life on-foot routine on the same visit.
What to verify before moving
- Check late-night activity and how it changes the route home
- Check the route during commute hours and feel the real burden
- Check the ease of moving between station, shops, and home both at night and in rain.
- Confirm whether clinic, pharmacy, and grocery access still work when someone is unwell.
Read by household profile
Even at the same address, the issues shift by household profile. Each card reads the area through one lifestyle.
Single
Conditional 69Commute shortness and evening route durability drive the read. Late commute and weekend solo time set the differentiation.
Strengths
- Station within ~299m keeps commute short
- Evening shopping holds up; late commute still works
Red flags
- Falls inside a hazard zone; late-night evacuation harder to read
Next checks
- → Visit the area at ~9pm on a weekday and Saturday morning to feel the time-of-day shift
DINKS
Conditional 60Dual-commute symmetry, short household routes, and room to transition into child-rearing drive the read. The fit hinges on present convenience plus future optionality.
Strengths
- Station within ~299m keeps the dual commute light
Next checks
- → Walk the area on a dual-commute morning and evening to feel the routine
Family
Conditional 56Childcare access, child safety (hazards and school routes), and rainy-day shopping drive the read. The fit endures only if the area still works after school age.
Strengths
- 10 education amenities give strong out-of-school options
- Pediatric clinic within ~730m
Red flags
- Inside flood-prone zone; school routes and evacuation must be verified
Next checks
- → Walk the school route and elevation to the shelter on site
Senior
Conditional 56Walkable self-sufficiency and continuity of both medical care and the community drive the read. The fit is judged on the next 10–20 years, not today.
Strengths
- Flat-to-gentle terrain keeps daily walking light
- Emergency-capable facility within ~33m
Red flags
- Eldercare / homecare not visible within walking distance
Next checks
- → Check with the local welfare office for available home-care providers
Long-term stay
For long-term living, baseline assumptions be….
Car-dependent
For car-dependent living, road access and sho….
Station-dependent
For station-dependent living, weaker return-h….
Premise delta simulation
Starting from base score 67.3, this shows resilience under changed assumptions.
Station walk +5 min
61.9-5.4
Assume extra friction in daily commute routes
Primary impacted axes: Transport / Convenience / Livability
Mortgage rate +0.5%
66.7-0.6
Assume tighter post-purchase cash buffer
Primary impacted axes: Livability / Asset / Investment
Expected rent -5%
67.30.0
Assume softer rental demand
Primary impacted axes: Investment / Asset / Future
Onsite verification checklist
Items are sorted by priority and can be used as an execution memo on site.
- HIGHDay
Preparedness for stronger shaking should be prioritized
Recheck disaster risk
- HIGHDay
Review the soil report to see whether ground conditions can become a future burden
Ground survey
- HIGHNight
Check late-night activity and how it changes the route home
Late-night businesses
- HIGHDay
Transport data is only partial, so actual travel time is still unclear
Recheck transport
- HIGHNight
Walk from the station at night and verify the route home
Late-night route
- HIGHDay
Daily livability may look reasonable, but hazard-related cautions still remain
Recheck livability
- HIGHNight
Check whether the noise still allows windows to stay open at night
Night noise
- HIGHRain
Check whether access or rebuilding conditions can become a constraint
Road access
Comparison axes
Residential comparison axes
Compare areas by daily routes, medical continuity, and nighttime livability rather than station distance alone.
- For residence, it is usually better to compare whether medical, shopping, and nighttime routes actually work than station distance alone.
- Station alternatives
- Hazard routes
Scenario view
What tends to matter after moving in
This surfaces the conditions that turn into fatigue or friction after moving in, not just what looks good today.
- On rainy days and as you age, livability hinges on whether the nearby bus stops can actually replace walking when needed.
- After aging, the burden of reaching the stati….
- No major five-year break is visible.
- Do not freeze long-term demand assumptions.
Verification missions
Checks before moving in
Confirm on site where the weak points appear in rain, at night, with a stroller, or later in life.
- Preparedness for stronger shaking should be prioritized.
- Check the latest municipal revision date
- Check municipal records and past reporting
How this land was formed
自然地形の成り立ちが読みやすい土地。
自然地形では 台地･段丘 の履歴が見えます。地形の成り立ち自体が、現代のハザードや地盤条件の下敷きになります。
Medium Confidence
【土地の歴史】台地･段丘の自然地形
Illustrative cross-section. Actual elevation and layer thickness vary by point.
Historical story
この地点は 台地･段丘 の性格が比較的残っています。大きな人工改変より、元の地形条件そのものがリスクの読み方を決めやすい地点です。
Professional read
現代の地図では平準化されて見えても、土地の履歴では 台地･段丘 が残ります。プロの視点では、今の見た目より、どの地形をどう改変したかがハザードの根拠になります。
もとの地形
台地･段丘: 周囲より階段状に高くなった平坦な土地。周囲が侵食により削られて取り残されてできる。
いま読むべき因果関係
現代の地図では平準化されて見えても、土地の履歴では 台地･段丘 が残ります。プロの視点では、今の見た目より、どの地形をどう改変したかがハザードの根拠になります。
Source: 国土地理院 地形分類（実験公開）
Tiles: natural https://cyberjapandata.gsi.go.jp/xyz/experimental_landformclassification1/15/29100/12902.geojson / artificial https://cyberjapandata.gsi.go.jp/xyz/experimental_landformclassification2/15/29100/12902.geojson
Open fetched data appendix
Evidence
Structured summary of fetched information
From here, the fetched signals behind the analysis are arranged in categories that are easier to review and compare.
Transport
Fetched items related to stations, buses, and movement burden.
- 最寄り駅
- 最寄り駅までの距離
- 最寄り駅判定信頼度
- 駅候補スコア
- 最寄りバス停
Medical
Fetched items related to medical access and continuity of care.
- 周辺公共施設
- 生活利便施設
- グローバル施設
- Education Amenities
- Lifestyle Amenities
- 買い物実用度
Price and future
Fetched items related to pricing, demand, and population trajectory.
- 地価
- 最新取引時期
- 取得取引件数
- 市区町村取引参照
- 人口
- 世帯数
- 将来人口
- 将来人口増減
Hazard and terrain
Fetched items related to hazards and terrain understanding.
- 土砂災害リスク
- 液状化傾向
- 洪水リスク
Final Professional Conclusion
「Read this area along two axes: walkable amenities and rail access as strengths, and rainy / nighttime / unwell-day route load as watch points. Reading both sides keeps daily-life decisions stable.」